Joshua v Takam: Routine Win or Major Shock?

Anthony Joshua

On Saturday 28th October, the face of heavyweight boxing, Anthony Joshua returns to the ring to take on Carlos Takam at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff. World champion Joshua will be putting his WBA Super, IBF and IBO titles on the line in front of a capacity crowd of 80,000 fans at the Welsh national stadium. This fight will set the new record of the largest boxing attendance to be indoors. The previous record was the Muhammad Ali vs. Leon Spinks rematch which gathered 63,000 fans at the New Orleans Superdome back in 1978.

With a perfect 19-0 record, including all wins by knockout, Joshua will be expected to cast aside his French-based Cameroonian rival in similar fashion, following his late inclusion after KubratPulev had to withdraw due to injury, but in heavyweight boxing anything can happen, which is why the sport is so entertaining and unpredictable.

With less than two weeks to prepare for Takam, Anthony Joshua’s background team will have to tear-up their previous plans for his new opponent. Takam is a more stout individual as opposed to the taller Pulev. The 36-year-old has excellent levels of energy despite his veteran status, and will make sure Joshua works for all three minutes of every round. Takam has suffered just one knockout defeat against Alexander Povetkin in his 39 previous fights to suggest his durability is fairly sound. Despite being a late replacement, there is a strong case to offer that Takam is most definitely not an easier opponent than the unfortunate Bulgarian.

Fight Odds

Carlos Takam

For the punter who wishes to stake their money on a Joshua victory, you will not be rewarded with large odds in the Win Market. The best price at the time of writing for another win for AJ is 1/33 with Betfred. It would take a brave gambler to wager against the British star, but Takam can be backed with Marathon Bet at the top industry odds of 20/1, while the draw is priced up at a generally available 33/1 with Stan James and Betway amongst others.

Offering very little in terms of valuable odds for Joshua fans is in the Method of Victory market with the Londoner available at the ridiculous price of 1/16 from Bet365 and 188Bet to win via knockout, technical knockout or disqualification. Sky Bet and Betway offer the best value for Joshua to take victory via a points victory or technical decision at 12/1 – although that eventuality looks rather unlikely due to the explosive punching power of AJ. The opposite side of the betting market offers Takam at 16/1 with Ladbrokes, Coral and 888sport amongst others to silence the Cardiff audience to claim victory by stoppage, while the same firms go 40/1 for the veteran to win on points.

The betting market that takes my eye is the Round Group Betting where some value can be found. Lots of bookmakers offer many choices in this market, so firstly, my advice is to choose carefully. Firstly, as an example, Ladbrokes and Coral offer Joshua to win the fight between Rounds 1-6 at the current odds of 2/7. While the same outcome of a Joshua victory in Rounds 7-12 can be had again with Sky Bet at 5/1. For Takam in Rounds 1-6, Sky Bet offer 33/1, and the same bookmaker go 40/1 for a shock stoppage in Rounds 7-12.

While the probability of Joshua winning inside the first six rounds is highly likely, the 2/7 on offer is rather prohibitive. It could pay to try and shrink the round bracket to a smaller size for more generous odds. Coral and 888sport offer 15/8 on Joshua claiming victory in Rounds 4-6 and that could be the one to be on. Takam is likely to start the fight in cagey fashion – and judging on his previous record has shown some durability, which leans towards Joshua having to wear down his opponent.

Conclusion

I have no doubts that Anthony Joshua will remain undefeated after this fight – and highly likely to keep his winning record inside the distance too. Takam could prove elusive and durable for Joshua in the early stages, but you can expect the British fighter to catch up with him soon enough. It was tempting to suggest that Joshua will stop the French-based Cameroonian inside three rounds, but the advice is to pick Rounds 4-6. Takam has never been in the ring with an opponent so fiercely destructive as Joshua – and that will ultimately prove to be too much for him.

Best bet