BBC Sports Personality of the Year Odds 2018

Please keep in mind that all odds mentioned are accurate at the time published on 06/07/2018 11:52 am and are likely to change.

We may only be halfway through the year but we’ve already seen some outstanding sporting action from across the world. England’s footballers are currently adding to the excitement at the 2018 World Cup and there’s plenty more to look forward to in 2018.

It will be some time before the BBC Sports Personality of the Year show comes along to recognise outstanding achievement but at this early stage, it can be wise to seek out some ante post value. Here’s how the SPOTY market is looking in early July.

Man to Beat

Harry Kane

England’s destiny at Russia 2018 may well be in the hands, or at the feet, of Harry Kane but the striker has already made a significant move at the head of this market. Kane is favourite to win BBC Sports Personality of the Year and the best price currently available is the 8/11 quoted by William Hill.

If England were to go on and win the World Cup, we could effectively say that their captain and main striker is a certainty to take the overall SPOTY award. There’s a lot of football to be played and some better teams than Colombia standing in their way but if you think the Three Lions can do it, the advice is to take that price now before it drops and becomes prohibitive.

Chasing Pack

Behind Harry Kane, there is a long gap to the remaining contenders and the second favourite is currently Anthony Joshua who is available at a top price of 7/1 with Coral. AJ was the clear favourite in 2017 and it was therefore something of a surprise when the boxer lost out to Mo Farah.

There was a sense of injustice for some in that result and Joshua will get support once again but 2018 hasn’t been such a stellar year for him and that will naturally count against AJ when the voting is made.

Next we have Lewis Hamilton at a best of 20/1 with MarathonBet and Betway and we think that this could be one to watch. Motorsport has a big following and there has been a series of Formula One SPOTY winners, dating all the way back to Stirling Moss in 1961.

In fact, Lewis Hamilton has won the Sports Personality of the Year award in 2014 and he’s been a runner up twice. To win it again in 2018 it’s likely that he will have to retain his F1 Driver’s title but that looks a strong probability and it could pay to get on at 20/1 before that figure drops.

Winter Wonders

Lizzy Yarnold

2018 was also a Winter Olympics year and the odds setters have moved to recognise some of Britain’s own olympians. Lizzy Yarnold is the most likely contender in this bracket at 20/1 with Unibet and Coral while further down, there are options for curling’s Eve Muirhead.

While they are all worthy champions, it wasn’t a particularly brilliant Winter Olympics for Great Britain so it’s hard to see any of these names coming through to take the overall Sports Personality of the Year trophy.

A more likely option could be Chris Froome, assuming that he is allowed to compete and get the chance to defend his Tour De France title. Froome will join the record holders with five Tour wins if he does make it and that would make odds of 22/1 with 188Bet and MarathonBet very interesting indeed.

The surge of interest in British cycling has seen Chris Hoy, Bradley Wiggins and Mark Cavendish win SPOTY in the last ten years so there’s enough of a precedent to suggest that Froome can add to that list.

Outside Punts

It’s rare to see a real shock and although few punters expected Mo Farah to come through and take last year’s crown, it wasn’t from a particularly distant price. Farah is available again for 2018, this time as a genuine long shot at best odds of 66/1 with William Hill but as there have been no major athletics championships this year, a successful defence seems unlikely.

Elsewhere, it could be worth looking at other members of England’s World Cup squad for Russia 2018, particularly Jordan Pickford who is quoted at a top price of 33/1 with William Hill. England’s goalkeeper is as short as 10/1 in other places and as the real hero of that shootout against Colombia, we think that 33/1 is very interesting indeed.

Other members of that squad in the running for Sports Personality of the Year include Dele Alli and Harry Maguire who are both available at 50/1 with Coral and Betway, plus Jamie Vardy who is out at 100/1 with MarathonBet.

As we shorten slightly, how about Mark Williams who finished a brilliant season on the snooker table with a World Championship win at the crucible? Within his own sport, the Welshman’s achievements, at a relatively late stage of his career, have been remarkable and there will be some interest at a top price of 33/1 with Betway and 188Bet.

Verdict

Lewis Hamilton

We’re only in July so it is very early in terms of picking a winner for Sports Personality of the Year but clearly there is going to be a lot of interest in England’s footballers, even if they don’t manage to go as deep into the World Cup as they would like.

We should also remember that Harry Kane has achieved much for his domestic club Spurs and has enjoyed another prolific season for the North London outfit. Much can happen between now and December but World Cup fever seems to have gripped a nation and it’s unlikely that it will be forgotten when it’s time to vote.

At this point, odds of 8/11 on Harry Kane for BBC Sports Personality of the Year look a little too short but we remain interested in that 20/1 on Lewis Hamilton. He’s a former winner of this award and if he takes out the F1 Drivers’ Championship again in 2018, he may well set some records along the way – including most wins at the British Grand Prix.

That’s the sort of performance that will resonate with the British public but is it enough to win SPOTY? We’re not entirely sure so we’ll play a little safer here. Not all bookies have Each Way terms at this point but MarathonBet give you this option and at 20/1, Lewis Hamilton looks a very good E/W punt.

Best Bet for BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2018: